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Vibe Coding and The AI Silver Bullet

Vibe Coding and The AI Silver Bullet

How AI will break Brooks' longstanding "no silver bullet" law, yet drive more software jobs - eventually.

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Lessons from the Anthropic Architect exam
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Lessons from the Anthropic Architect exam

CCA-F facts and falacies.

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Token cost of ownership

Token cost of ownership

The utterly confusing, confounding, and compounding cost of AI.

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Fast horses

Fast horses

Agents are hyper-communicative polyglot polymaths with photographic memories - not faster horses.

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AI induced Idiocracy

AI induced Idiocracy

Over reliance on AI destroys new skill formation - who knew?

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Leadership as code

Leadership as code

Opus 4.6 and Codex 5.3 are more than coding engines, they are fabric for hyper-lean operating models.

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The coming Store

The coming Store

Steve Jobs' design genius wasn't "form follows function" - it was "form follows monetisation". Could Anthropic unleash an AI Store for the singularity?

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Anthropic's enterprise move - moves markets

Anthropic's enterprise move - moves markets

When the tide goes out, you see who's got their trunks on - Warren Buffett [paraphrased], 1995 AGM .

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The SaaS-pocalypse

The SaaS-pocalypse

The end of SaaS? Not likely. Time to buy? Most likely.

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OpenClaw - SkyNet meets life of Brian

OpenClaw - SkyNet meets life of Brian

What happens when your side project turns into a cross between SkyNet and the Life of Brian?

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The 10x fly-off

The 10x fly-off

Near-term "10x" gains from coding agents won't come from ten times more code or a tenth of the cost. They come from crashing the value stream.

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Impedance matching

Impedance matching

The hardest problems in technology aren't inside systems - they're between them.

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Protecting your business from the AI-Borg

Protecting your business from the AI-Borg

If an MRI scan revealed your innermost thoughts, would you share the results? Looks like the Cursor crew wouldn't either...

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Cloud failure, not the end of the world

Cloud failure, not the end of the world

What's the risk - in the scheme of things?

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Fant-AI-sia. Magic without mastery is mischief

Fant-AI-sia. Magic without mastery is mischief

A philosophical critique of AI predictions, futurology and AI-2027.

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The innovation game

The innovation game

Serendipity and the law of obliquity

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Research · Sweeps

Multi-lane reads on what actually matters

Financial press, frontier labs, academia, VC and independent analysis - cross-read in a single view.

Research · Explainers

Penetrating the impenetrable

Long-form research explainers - context, implications, and the parts most coverage leaves out.

Open explainer

Jumper (2021)

AlphaFold predicts protein structures with near-experimental accuracy, but sequence alone still sets the boundary

AlphaFold combined evolutionary information with explicit geometric reasoning to outperform every other method at CASP14. Its predictions are fast and unusually accurate, provided the sequence carries enough evidence about the structure.

0.96 Å
median CASP14 backbone error, compared with 2.8 Å for the next-best method
1.5 Å
median all-atom error, compared with 3.5 Å for the strongest alternative
Open explainer

Acharya (2026)

Governance maturity makes agent fleets safer, but the evidence is still simulated

A 750-run multi-agent simulation finds that higher governance maturity sharply reduces agent sprawl and risk incidents while improving task completion and composite Net Business Value. Its pivotal claim is that Level 3 is the minimum viable standard, not a decorative middle rung.

Level 1
reactive governance with high shadow-agent and orphan-agent exposure
Level 2
an early control stage that barely improves adversarial outcomes

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